#Israeli military said that they struck #Iran-backed targets in response to explosive devices that soldiers uncovered on the Israeli- #Syrian border the previous day.
Raids occurred south of #Damascus.
Independent observers say 10 killed, Syria says 3.
#IDF confirmed #Israel attacked 8 targets (arms depots, military headquarters & compounds, surface-to-air missile batteries) belonging to the #Iranian #Quds_Force and the #Syrian military.
•Such #Israeli raids have been recurrent for more than 4 years now.
•They always happen amidst complete #Russian passivity, despite deployment of S-400/300 batteries in #Syria.
•Most of raids overfly #Lebanon.
•Except for 1 or 2 occurrences, #Iran or proxies never retaliates.
2 new contextual elements:
•Post- #USElections & pre- #Trump_Biden transition; outgoing pres tempted by roguish anti- #Iran action -direct or indirect.
•Similarly, #Israel ( #Bibi mainly) tempted by maximizing field gains; options: Iran direct, Iran in #Syria, #Lebanon/ #Hezbollah.
•In such #USTransition context, other actors’ behavior cld b different frm usual:
- #Russia wld b tempted to set new rules of game in #Syria for incoming #Biden admin.
- #Iran too; espec if flare-up remains contained, & doesn’t leave time for #Israel to achieve milit op bef Jan20.
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