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Say you have a huge jar of jelly beans.
All of them are red, except for a handful of green ones. The green ones contain tetrodotoxin, and will kill you.
All of them are red, except for a handful of green ones. The green ones contain tetrodotoxin, and will kill you.
If there's only one or two deadly green jellybeans, you'd pretty much need to eat that whole jar before you found one.
If you split those jelly beans into smaller jars, almost all of them would be safe to eat.
If you split those jelly beans into smaller jars, almost all of them would be safe to eat.
Now suppose you double the amount of green jelly beans every few days.
Instead of 3, now it's 12, now it's 48, etc
Instead of 3, now it's 12, now it's 48, etc
Now, those small jars of jellybeans, which used to be safe, will likely kill you.
The big jar will kill you faster, and those small jars will actually pose a threat.
The big jar will kill you faster, and those small jars will actually pose a threat.
Covid works like those jellybeans.
When there's only a few cases, you're likely to get exposed in high-volume areas. Working as a grocery clerk, or barista, etc. Attending a concert, or such.
When there's only a few cases, you're likely to get exposed in high-volume areas. Working as a grocery clerk, or barista, etc. Attending a concert, or such.
The more cases, the smaller the gathering necessary to get infected.
When cases are low, you could attend a hundred small dinner parties with little risk.
When cases are low, you could attend a hundred small dinner parties with little risk.
Once cases get high enough, those small dinner parties go from a slight chance to a risk to russian roulette.
When there's enough poisoned jelly beans, there *is* no safe way to distribute them into smaller jars.
Any jar is likely to kill you.
Any jar is likely to kill you.
As cases go higher, small parties become just as likely to kill you as attending a wedding was.
There are now enough cases that in some regions, there's a 50/50 chance one person in your small party is infected. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wired.com/story/thinking-about-a-holiday-gathering-look-at-this-map/amp
When you have that many deadly jellybeans, it no longer matters that you remember all those smaller jars you used to eat without a worry.
It no longer matters when you say "I ate 30 jars and I'm fine, it's not a problem."
Once there are that many, it is a problem.
Once there are that many, it is a problem.
To put it in perspective: right now, 1 in every 113 americans is infected.
Only a few months ago, it was 1 in every 10,000.
In some areas, it's 1 in 50.
Only a few months ago, it was 1 in every 10,000.
In some areas, it's 1 in 50.
At this point, redistributing the jelly beans doesn't make things any safer. There is no jar size small enough to guarantee safety.
