
Green is trending better.
Yellow is caution warranted.
Red is going downhill.
Bruised red is uncontrolled spread.
It is just as devastatingly bad as it was a week ago. The only thing that's changed is 1 state went from red to yellow (Hawaii) and 1 went from yellow to red (Vermont).
Here's a week ago vs today:
Here's a week ago vs today:
Not a single state is reporting a decline in positive COVID-19 cases over the last 14 days.
Vermont is seeing the biggest spike: 265% increase. :(
Vermont is seeing the biggest spike: 265% increase. :(
D.C. has seen a 56% increase in positive COVID cases over the last 2 weeks.
It is doing pretty good on testing though.
It is doing pretty good on testing though.
Another way of looking at this data: can our health care system handle this spread? This map uses bed and ICU availability, case fatality rate + cases per capita as a proxy for load on our hospitals.
Hospitals in the Midwest cannot handle what is happening. Neither can Alaska.
Hospitals in the Midwest cannot handle what is happening. Neither can Alaska.
The lavender color on this map is new. It signifies more than 1,000 new cases per million.
It appears the Covid Exit Strategy folks had to add a new color/category to reflect the degree of severity.
Last Monday vs today:
It appears the Covid Exit Strategy folks had to add a new color/category to reflect the degree of severity.
Last Monday vs today:
I look through this website every Monday and always look for silver linings in the data. I can usually find something, even if it's just one state breaking through and doing well.
It's hard to see anything today.
It's hard to see anything today.
OK here's one good thing: 5 states (including DC) are doing well on testing.
D.C.
Hawaii
Maine
New York
Vermont
D.C.
Hawaii
Maine
New York
Vermont
Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy + a member of Biden's COVID advisory team, was on Meet The Press yesterday.
"We are in the most dangerous public health period since 1918."
"We are in the most dangerous public health period since 1918."
Osterholm says we'll be heading to a vaccine in the next few months, but "if we don't basically take important steps like stop swapping air with our neighbors, our friends, our colleagues, we're going to see these numbers grow substantially."