Trump's refusal to concede is dangerous and profoundly undemocratic
However, he now has a thing others want
Without it, he has little
And so he is going to hold on to it as long as he can, to see what he can make of it
In a strange way, a rational act of a desperate person
However, he now has a thing others want
Without it, he has little
And so he is going to hold on to it as long as he can, to see what he can make of it
In a strange way, a rational act of a desperate person
If he concedes, he (personally) gains nothing
(Even if the polity gains a relief)
So this is a grand exercise of political game theory: as long as he holds on he has the possibility of something in exchange for the valuable concession
(Regardless of the political consequences)
(Even if the polity gains a relief)
So this is a grand exercise of political game theory: as long as he holds on he has the possibility of something in exchange for the valuable concession
(Regardless of the political consequences)
From his personal selfish perspective, what possible incentive has he to concede this valuable thing for nothing in return?
None
And this is the key to understanding the man
The constant pursuit of leverage
Like a video game character leaping from seesaw to seesaw
None
And this is the key to understanding the man
The constant pursuit of leverage
Like a video game character leaping from seesaw to seesaw
Of course, he has only until 20 January 2021 to play this game
As unless something extraordinary happens, his term ends by automatic operation of law
But the potential disruption of two months without concession is immense
And he knows it, so he is playing it for all its worth
As unless something extraordinary happens, his term ends by automatic operation of law
But the potential disruption of two months without concession is immense
And he knows it, so he is playing it for all its worth
This is a perfect example of a thing being illustrated by the manner of its departure
While he does not concede, he retains power, attention and money, can promote possibility of running again, keeps a hold over Republicans in Congress, can seek a deal, cause mayhem
Concession, loses all this
With Trumpite assumptions, it would be *irrational* for him to concede
Concession, loses all this
With Trumpite assumptions, it would be *irrational* for him to concede
This insight, if it is an insight, is from 20 years as contract/commercial lawyer dealing with 'deal-makers' than from watching politics/law.
Trump may be better understood as a supposed business person, going from - and then reneging on - deal after deal, than as a politician.
Trump may be better understood as a supposed business person, going from - and then reneging on - deal after deal, than as a politician.