Kurdistan Region and its dispute with Iraq regarding: Oil, Budget and the future relationship.
The following article will describe the current situation:
#twitterkurds https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/shock-therapy-will-kill-not-cure-iraqi-kurdistans-economy#.X67yQJ2Njyg.twitter
The following article will describe the current situation:
#twitterkurds https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/shock-therapy-will-kill-not-cure-iraqi-kurdistans-economy#.X67yQJ2Njyg.twitter
Iraq’s parliament approved emergency borrowing of $10 billion USD to cover government expenses for the last quarter of 2020. The vote passed with the support of 173 Shia +Sunni members in the 329-seat legislature, though the 60-odd Kurdish members walked out of the session [1/9]
After the fall of Saddam’s regime, the Iraqi gov. instituted a customary form of revenue sharing with the KRG, a subnational entity that encompasses four of the country’s nineteen provinces.Baghdad transferred a monthly block share of government spending 17% to the Kurds [2/9]
KRG’s share was drawn from a subset of the federal budget called “non-sovereign” spending, which excluded “sovereign” items such as defense, the Foreign Ministry, the parliament, oil production costs, and so on. As a result, the Kurdish 17% was really more like 13%. [3/9]
Iraq transferred $268 m. monthly without requiring the Kurds to send all of their revenues. The transfers from Iraq have enabled KRG officials to meet most of their $1.08 billion in monthly spending obligations, incl. the crucial $710 m. portion needed to pay salaries [4/9]
If the new funding deficit law is implemented as is, it would mean: The $268 million in monthly transfers would apparently continue, but the law would also require the KRG to immediately send all of its oil revenues + customs portion of its non-oil revenues [5/9]
If one assumes that the Kurds sell 400,000 bpd of oil monthly at the discounted price of around $33 per barrel (vs. $45 per barrel Brent averages), this would mean they need to surrender $396 million in oil revenues each month, along with around three-quarters of [6/9]
their non-oil revenue. KRG income would plummet from $764 million per month (i.e., $268 m. federal transfers, $396 m. oil revenues, $100 m. non-oil revenues) to $293 million per month ($268 million in federal transfers plus $25 million in residual non-oil income). [7/9]
The KRG is currently riding a tough but manageable 30% monthly account deficit (i.e., $764 million in income vs. nominal spending of $1.08 billion). Yet by decreasing this monthly income to $293 million, the new law would increase the KRG deficit to a crushing 73% and ... [8/9]
... leave Kurdish officials far short of meeting their most important obligations: the $710 million in monthly salary and social security payments. Insisting on immediate implementation is therefore an economic suicide pill for the KRG. [9/9]
Kurdistan Region’s federal budget share a right, not a privilege: KRG PM Barzani https://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/iraq/14112020
Passage of Fiscal Deficit Financing bill without Kurdish MPs is negative precedent: Iraqi President https://www.nrttv.com/en/News.aspx?id=25023&MapID=1
People like Ranj Talabani are saying the same thing for more than 4 years.
It doesn't make sense to withdraw all officials and this "argumentation" is stupid.
It doesn't make sense to withdraw all officials and this "argumentation" is stupid.