This week the Assistant Sec Gen of @Dept_ECC told Joint Committee: “[climate] ambition in the [PfG] is coming out somewhere between 55% and 60%” when compared to EU’s -55% by 2030

This is simply incorrect

🇪🇺= -55% 1990-2030
🇮🇪= -51% 2020-2030 = ~ -45% 1990-2030

1/4 @LNBDublin
Note that Assistant Sec cites 2018 as baseline for PfG’s -7% p.a. (average) reduction over decade 2020-2030 (pic1).

That’s not what PfG says (pic2).

Using 2018 rather than 2020 (Covid effect) means using higher baseline, making -51% by 2030 a bit less onerous. 2/4 @LNBDublin
Note that Assistant Sec cites 2018 as baseline for PfG’s -7% p.a. (average) reduction over decade 2020-2030 (pic1).That’s not what PfG says (pic2). Using 2018 rather than 2020 (Covid effect) means using higher baseline, making -51% by 2030 a bit less onerous. 2/4 @LNBDublin
Note that Assistant Sec cites 2018 as baseline for PfG’s -7% p.a. (average) reduction over decade 2020-2030 (pic1).That’s not what PfG says (pic2). Using 2018 rather than 2020 (Covid effect) means using higher baseline, making -51% by 2030 a bit less onerous. 2/4 @LNBDublin
But even using 2018 baseline (pics)

• 2018 emissions=60.9 Gt CO2e
• -51% per PfG=29.8 Gt in 2030
• 1990 emissions= 55.5 Gt

On this basis, PfG reduction 1990-2030= -46%. Not “somewhere b/w 55% and 60%”.

So Govt supports -55% (1990-2030) for 🇪🇺 collectively but -46% 🇮🇪. 3/4
But even using 2018 baseline (pics)• 2018 emissions=60.9 Gt CO2e • -51% per PfG=29.8 Gt in 2030• 1990 emissions= 55.5 Gt On this basis, PfG reduction 1990-2030= -46%. Not “somewhere b/w 55% and 60%”.So Govt supports -55% (1990-2030) for collectively but -46% . 3/4
But even using 2018 baseline (pics)• 2018 emissions=60.9 Gt CO2e • -51% per PfG=29.8 Gt in 2030• 1990 emissions= 55.5 Gt On this basis, PfG reduction 1990-2030= -46%. Not “somewhere b/w 55% and 60%”.So Govt supports -55% (1990-2030) for collectively but -46% . 3/4
But even using 2018 baseline (pics)• 2018 emissions=60.9 Gt CO2e • -51% per PfG=29.8 Gt in 2030• 1990 emissions= 55.5 Gt On this basis, PfG reduction 1990-2030= -46%. Not “somewhere b/w 55% and 60%”.So Govt supports -55% (1990-2030) for collectively but -46% . 3/4
But even using 2018 baseline (pics)• 2018 emissions=60.9 Gt CO2e • -51% per PfG=29.8 Gt in 2030• 1990 emissions= 55.5 Gt On this basis, PfG reduction 1990-2030= -46%. Not “somewhere b/w 55% and 60%”.So Govt supports -55% (1990-2030) for collectively but -46% . 3/4
Hopefully the Joint Committee will follow up with the Assistant Sec Gen re these figures given he said he can “provide confirmation on that later” 4/4 @LNBDublin @CormacDevlin @AlanFarrell
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