It strikes me how much of the Covid debate is happening outside of the communities most affected by it.

1 in 32 Americans have tested positive; have 1 in 32 people you know tested positive? Has lockdown for you been your storefront shuttered or has it been WFH + Netflix & chill?

I don't think I directly know a single person who has tested positive, and my lockdown has been WFH + Netflix (no chill). I know a lot of people in the nonprofit world hurting, but no one whose business has had to close. I do know a lot of people very isolated and depressed.

One problem with Covid debates: we discuss trends broadly but impacts are bifurcated.

Maybe you get a mild illness — or maybe you wind up in ICU and have long-term organ damage.

Depending on your demographic, you probably either know many who've had it — or virtually none.

etc

A relatively stable summer, many reasonably wonder "is this worth it?" … then big spikes.

Some countries with brutal restrictions got hit horribly, others that did virtually nothing got off easy … until they didn't.

The virus is uninterested in mood or inductive reasoning.

Pretty important caveat here: A lot of Covid commentators live in NYC, the worst-hit region of the country. https://twitter.com/jbarro/status/1326723050675564544