The darkest colored states here are averaging 100+ new _diagnosed_ COVID cases per 100k population per day -- meaning that 1%+ of the state population has an active (diagnosed!) COVID case currently. What's going to happen when people gather for Thanksgiving?
(the is the source if anyone wants to look: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_casesper100klast7days
And my assumption is that COVID cases last for about 10 days, though I think that's on the short end. So 100*10= 1000, 1000/100000 = 1%)
And my assumption is that COVID cases last for about 10 days, though I think that's on the short end. So 100*10= 1000, 1000/100000 = 1%)
Since I believe in showing your work, here's my source on the 10 days figure, from the CDC as well https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/duration-isolation.html
I'd also note that the positivity rates in some of these states are, to use a technical term, absolutely BANANAS. So the underdiagnosis rate could be huge, meaning that it could be 2%, 3%, etc. who are currently infected.