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Some Sens draft evaluations now so I thought I'd do a silly exercise that is no way scientific and looked at the Mann drafts 2015-2019 (excluding 2020 because it's too recent) to evaluate on basic criteria "Is this player currently doing better/worse than their draft position?"1/
As the drafts get more recent, the volatility/uncertainty increases but it's still interesting (to me at least) to get a snapshot. I'll add notes where I think it's appropriate. The ratings are:
+: performing ahead of draft position
-: performing behind
=: as anticipated
+: performing ahead of draft position
-: performing behind
=: as anticipated
2015
1st rd: Chabot +
1st rd: White -
2nd rd: Gagne -
2nd rd: Chlapik =
4th rd: Wolanin +
4th rd: Ahl -
5th rd: Jaros +
7th rd: Daccord +
Chlapik & Jaros haven't broken into the NHL fulltime at this point but both have shown enough there to equal/outpace their draft slots IMO.
1st rd: Chabot +
1st rd: White -
2nd rd: Gagne -
2nd rd: Chlapik =
4th rd: Wolanin +
4th rd: Ahl -
5th rd: Jaros +
7th rd: Daccord +
Chlapik & Jaros haven't broken into the NHL fulltime at this point but both have shown enough there to equal/outpace their draft slots IMO.
2016
1st rd: Brown -
2nd rd: Dahlen -
4th rd: Burgess -
5th rd: Lajoie =
6th rd: Nurmi -
The only net negative draft year and Brown could still turn it around to salvage something. Trading Dahlen at least didn't turn out to be the disaster some thought it would.
1st rd: Brown -
2nd rd: Dahlen -
4th rd: Burgess -
5th rd: Lajoie =
6th rd: Nurmi -
The only net negative draft year and Brown could still turn it around to salvage something. Trading Dahlen at least didn't turn out to be the disaster some thought it would.
2017
1st: Bowers -
2nd: Formenton +
4th: Batherson +
6th: Hollet -
Batherson and Formenton are obviously the big wins here. Credit the Sens for at least including Bowers in the Duchene deal when he still had "drafted in the 1st round" cache.
1st: Bowers -
2nd: Formenton +
4th: Batherson +
6th: Hollet -
Batherson and Formenton are obviously the big wins here. Credit the Sens for at least including Bowers in the Duchene deal when he still had "drafted in the 1st round" cache.
2018
1st: Tkachuk +
1st: JBD +
2nd: Tychonick -
4th: Gruden +
5th: Crookshank +
6th: Mandolese +
7th: Novak +
7th: Loheit =
Still early but this could be great. Harder to evaluate as no one besides Tkachuk has played a pro game yet but based on progress, most are excelling
1st: Tkachuk +
1st: JBD +
2nd: Tychonick -
4th: Gruden +
5th: Crookshank +
6th: Mandolese +
7th: Novak +
7th: Loheit =
Still early but this could be great. Harder to evaluate as no one besides Tkachuk has played a pro game yet but based on progress, most are excelling
2019
1st: Thompson -
2nd: Pinto +
2nd: Sogaard -
4th: Lodin -
5th: Kastelic =
6th: Guenette +
These ratings will almost certainly change once we see another year. Thompson could straighten himself out in Belleville and Sogaard has lots of time. Lodin still sucks.
1st: Thompson -
2nd: Pinto +
2nd: Sogaard -
4th: Lodin -
5th: Kastelic =
6th: Guenette +
These ratings will almost certainly change once we see another year. Thompson could straighten himself out in Belleville and Sogaard has lots of time. Lodin still sucks.
Total:
31 players
14 players currently outperforming slot
4 players performing as anticipated
13 players currently underperforming slot
So I guess my totally unscientific conclusion is that the Sens drafting under Mann is....pretty good? Thanks for listening to my Ted Talk.
31 players
14 players currently outperforming slot
4 players performing as anticipated
13 players currently underperforming slot
So I guess my totally unscientific conclusion is that the Sens drafting under Mann is....pretty good? Thanks for listening to my Ted Talk.
