Read on Twitter
1. The diff @kasie between El Paso & NYC though is that as @BetoORourke will tell you, the people of El Paso are being murdered by the extremism (and even worse, indiff) of the GOP in TX. Which, if TX Ds had made clear in the election instead of focusing on healthcare as directed https://twitter.com/WSJ/status/1325558747092164616
2. national Ds, by the D orgs, AND by the state party's consultants (whereas the advice I gave to nationalize the race, tie in Trump, & make it a referendum on the pandemic was ignored. Honestly, I thought my phone would ring. Even after being warned that @texasdemocrats were
3. heavily reliant on heavy @TheDemocrats strategy which is itself reliant on a dialed-in, consultant class heavy "strategy" that is out-dated, frankly. The candidates that enjoy the most success are those w the financial flexibility to go rouge & build their own turnout machines
4. devoted to solving the Bitecofer equation (equalized partisan turnout) like Katie Porter out in CA 45, a district which has fundamentals that slightly favor the GOP. The same is true this year in the presidential contest. I didn't have to sweat it out bc in MI, WI, & PA, AZ
5. and addition to work from the grassroots- who have always understood this, the state parties were focused heavily on ensuring they did not see a repeat of 2016. Thus, they were using money from their own coffers to knocks doors for low propensity D, esp in the cities. This,
6. combined w the nationalized messaging coming from @ProjectLincoln (which encouraged, I think, more nationalized messaging from the Biden campaign too) all allowed me to sleep at night confident the forecast would materialize. https://cnu.edu/wasoncenter/2019/07/01-2020-election-forecast/
7. Where the stratewgy DIDN't get nationalized, where Donald Trump was not indicted for voters, where candidates were not tied to Trump like the GOP ties any and every D to @AOC no matter how moderate- bc these things did not happen on the congressional strategy, only in races
8. that had the right demos- college edu voters and/or diversity of the competitive field stayed Ds (which is most of the 40 seats gains, as I predicted ) but ALL the potential growth was lost in both House & state leg races. Its a massive blown opp.
That said, w a moderization
That said, w a moderization
9. of the party's strategic approach and moderate messaging I suggest, Ds could NOT be wiped out in 2022. The WRONG answer is a finger pointing about issues that were weaponized by the Right. The Right are effective weaponizers- there will always be something they can demonize Ds
10. for which is why the ONLY solution is to teach this party how to stop, permanently, being victims.
