Months ago we urged people to prepare in case of a coup – and to act decisively if a coup begins.
This scenario has unfolded differently.
What we have seen has been slow, poorly rolled out, and has none of the surprise elements associated with a traditional coup.
This scenario has unfolded differently.
What we have seen has been slow, poorly rolled out, and has none of the surprise elements associated with a traditional coup.
There are reasons for concern:
Government refusing to authorize resources for Biden’s transition team
Prominent Republicans refusing to honor election results
Attorney General Bill Barr instructing the DOJ to look into serious “allegations” of supposed voter fraud



Yet votes continue to be counted deliberately and fairly.
The media continues to treat Biden as the president-elect.
Secretaries of State are standing by the election process.
World leaders, Democrats, and many Republicans have congratulated Biden on his win.



We keep looking at each news item through this lens: Are the actions by these institutions and individuals able to change the outcome of the election?
The answer is no.
Given where we are, we don’t think we have to spring into action with mass nonviolent civil disobedience.
The answer is no.
Given where we are, we don’t think we have to spring into action with mass nonviolent civil disobedience.
Trump’s campaign is filing lawsuits, but they don’t go anywhere.
Ultimately, coups require institutions like the courts to cooperate in breaking norms. But so far, courts have resisted his calls for collaboration. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-11-06/trump-s-vote-count-lawsuits-fail-in-court-but-rouse-his-base
Ultimately, coups require institutions like the courts to cooperate in breaking norms. But so far, courts have resisted his calls for collaboration. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-11-06/trump-s-vote-count-lawsuits-fail-in-court-but-rouse-his-base
Trump’s campaign has the support of individuals, but not institutions.
When the Attorney General announced the DOJ would open an investigation into supposed “voter fraud,” it was met with internal resistance.
Internal dissension stops coups. https://www.npr.org/sections/live-updates-2020-election-results/2020/11/10/933395215/head-of-doj-s-election-crimes-unit-steps-down-after-barr-oks-election-inquiries
When the Attorney General announced the DOJ would open an investigation into supposed “voter fraud,” it was met with internal resistance.
Internal dissension stops coups. https://www.npr.org/sections/live-updates-2020-election-results/2020/11/10/933395215/head-of-doj-s-election-crimes-unit-steps-down-after-barr-oks-election-inquiries
Mainstream news outlets & election officials remain unanimous in agreeing that the election was fair & Biden won.
Election officials remain steadfast that they don’t see any signs of mass voter fraud. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/10/us/politics/voting-fraud.html
Election officials remain steadfast that they don’t see any signs of mass voter fraud. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/10/us/politics/voting-fraud.html
The bottom line: Trump’s efforts aren’t building momentum in the institutions that determine the election outcome.
The people leading the charge believe it cannot win. Trump’s family are asking him to concede. Even his lawyers are saying this may be too unethical for them.
The people leading the charge believe it cannot win. Trump’s family are asking him to concede. Even his lawyers are saying this may be too unethical for them.