Evers’ new executive order on COVID-19 may be advisory, but local governments can use this as an opportunity to re-evaluate the regs we have in place. Essentially we’ve swapped actual “gating” criteria for a highly discretionary approach which is failing to stop the spread.
Sadly I worry that without sufficient fiscal insulation from Congress and/or the Fed, local governments will continue to have perverse incentives to tolerate a higher level of spread in exchange for avoiding an even deeper crisis in the short-term.
In any case, the data that will most effectively drive the policy here are not simply the rates of cases, but the sources of outbreaks. We need to know precisely how/where the virus is spreading.
And there needs to be a coordinated message from trusted voices on how to do Thanksgiving gatherings, which is “Can u not.”
In general, the big numbers cause an eyes-glaze-over effect. The far more effective message is: if you wouldn’t serve your extended family rotten turkey, you shouldn’t invite them over for Thanksgiving this year.