The silly season doesn't just affect the amateur community, but the pros too.

There is nothing to suggest an SSW is likely, The CFS has a weak-zonal bias, and only 1 single member of the bias corrected CFS shows anything close to a potential SSW.

This is hyperbolic nonsense.

I would respond directly to Matts tweet, but unfortunately he blocked me a couple of months ago because I questioned his use of the AAM after he'd been chasing a change to unsettled weather for 4 months solid.

In the short term, a much stronger than average vortex is expected as we go into December with a strat/trop coupling increasing the likelihood of unsettled weather.

Could an SSW happen this year? Yes. Is it within the realms of prediction at this stage? No.