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MY APPROACH TO REDUCING ONTARIO’S COVID-19 NUMBERS “What would I do to reduce the skyrocketing COVID-19
numbers in Ontario?”
3 things. Immediately. Regionally, when weekly cases go above 39 / 100,000 people and positivity >3%.
AN EVIDENCE-BASED THREAD ...1/4
1. The following can re-open at 20% capacity but with no hours restriction: full-service restaurants, fitness centers, cafes and snack bars, & grocery stores. This would reduce infections by 80% while only losing 42% of overall visits. SOURCE: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2923-3_reference.pdf
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2. Both outdoor and indoor events (including sports, festive, and religious) AND social gatherings would be limited to 10 people. If, in two weeks the Rt > 1.0, indoor gatherings would no longer be permitted. SOURCE: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30785-4/fulltext
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3. All high schools would be moved fully online; all elementary schools would be moved to a hybrid model: - 5 days in class, 5 days at home. If, after 28 days Rt > 1.0, school would move fully online. SOURCE: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30785-4/fulltext
