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On to today’s episode with Baris: he’s talking about pivot counties & bellwethers. 200 Obama-> Trump counties for instance (I’d be interested to know how many flipped Biden. Feel like I read ~185/200 stayed Trump)
Anyway: he’s tying in bellwethers with what the fake polls said.
Anyway: he’s tying in bellwethers with what the fake polls said.
The fake polls said Biden was going to win cause he would flip so many of these pivot/bellwether counties. Not that he’d win by running up bigger turnout than Obama/Clinton in a handful of urban centers.
They said he’d lose Juneau, WI. Trump did not lose Juneau, WI.
They said he’d lose Juneau, WI. Trump did not lose Juneau, WI.
NYT/Siena Rust Belt polls map (an idea they stole from Baris by the way)
If you’re not super political, this map is hilariously wrong, just FYI.
Like Democrat fan fiction off.
If you’re not super political, this map is hilariously wrong, just FYI.
Like Democrat fan fiction off.
Baris knew immediately election night the Biden “landslide” was cancelled as soon as Indiana & specifically Vigo county came in.
Pollsters said Biden was going to clean up with the bellwethers.
Donald Trump won 9 out of 10 of the “failsafes” as Baris calls them.
Pollsters said Biden was going to clean up with the bellwethers.
Donald Trump won 9 out of 10 of the “failsafes” as Baris calls them.
Which would be the chart I posted a few days back. The top 10 of that I assume. Valencia, Vigo etc.
Key indicator something is fishy: turnout in these specific urban areas (Philly, Detroit, Milwaukee, Atlanta) is at levels that we see in countries with mandatory voting (punished by law if you don’t vote). It strains credulity
They’re exploiting how dirty the rolls are to do it
They’re exploiting how dirty the rolls are to do it
“This ends with us killing each other”
If we keep having every election where each side doesn’t see the other’s victory as legitimate & don’t think there is a point in even voting.
If we keep having every election where each side doesn’t see the other’s victory as legitimate & don’t think there is a point in even voting.
