Another round up of some of the latest research on C19 indirect impacts, and a thread below of the specific pieces! @FCDOResearch https://twitter.com/FCDOResearch/status/1326207669368205313
Continued recovery in global merchandise trade flows in August, but at a slower pace than previous months, with less integrated regions lagging. @WorldBank http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/400881604335826983/pdf/COVID-19-Trade-Watch-October-31-2020.pdf 2/n
A look at firms in
Ethiopia’s industrial parks finds domestic market-oriented firms were worse hit by C19 than exporters, more than twice as likely to have closed: https://www.theigc.org/?p=34518 via @The_IGC 3/n
![Flagge von Äthiopien 🇪🇹](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1ea-1f1f9.png)
@IFPRI research finds C19 has disrupted
Ethiopia's ‘gig economy flexible contract’ model of commercial vegetable clusters. Heterogenous impacts across the farm and consumer prices of
tomatoes
onions
peppers +
cabbage http://ebrary.ifpri.org/utils/getfile/collection/p15738coll2/id/133931/filename/134143.pdf 4/n
![Flagge von Äthiopien 🇪🇹](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1ea-1f1f9.png)
![Tomate 🍅](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f345.png)
![Zwiebel 🧅](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f9c5.png)
![Bell pepper 🫑](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1fad1.png)
![Leafy green 🥬](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f96c.png)
![Reisgetreide 🌾](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f33e.png)
![Flagge von Myanmar 🇲🇲](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1f2-1f1f2.png)
In
Bangladesh and
Nepal, there have been 25% greater declines in earnings for migrant dependent households since March according to @UNUWIDER 6/n https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/Publications/Working-paper/PDF/wp2020-139.pdf
![Flagge von Bangladesch 🇧🇩](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1e7-1f1e9.png)
![Flagge von Nepal 🇳🇵](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1f3-1f1f5.png)
Cugat and Narita estimate that the effect on the income distribution will be much larger than that of past pandemics and that the gains for these countries achieved since the global financial crisis could be reversed. https://blogs.imf.org/2020/10/29/how-covid-19-will-increase-inequality-in-emerging-markets-and-developing-economies/#.X6rFGaZ0DVM.twitter 7/n
@poverty_action round-up evidence for
Burkina Faso
Côte d’Ivoire
Ghana
Rwanda
Sierra Leone
Zambia
Colombia
Mexico
Philippines on levels of hunger and food insecurity from their RECOVR survey between May and July 2020. https://www.poverty-action.org/sites/default/files/publications/RECOVR%20and%20Food%20Security.pdf 8/n
![Flage von Burkina Faso 🇧🇫](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1e7-1f1eb.png)
![Flagge der Elfenbeinküste 🇨🇮](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1e8-1f1ee.png)
![Flagge von Ghana 🇬🇭](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1ec-1f1ed.png)
![Flagge von Ruanda 🇷🇼](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1f7-1f1fc.png)
![Flagge von Sierra Leone 🇸🇱](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1f8-1f1f1.png)
![Flagge von Sambia 🇿🇲](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1ff-1f1f2.png)
![Flagge von Kolumbien 🇨🇴](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1e8-1f1f4.png)
![Flagge von Mexiko 🇲🇽](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1f2-1f1fd.png)
![Flagge der Philippinen 🇵🇭](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1f5-1f1ed.png)
@IGC look at sectoral economic impacts of Covid in
Myanmar, and give recommendations on protecting the economy and vulnerable households. https://www.theigc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Brancati-et-al-2020-Report.pdf 9/n
![Flagge von Myanmar 🇲🇲](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1f2-1f1f2.png)
@IMFNews on The Crisis is Not Over, Keep Spending (Wisely) https://blogs.imf.org/2020/11/02/the-crisis-is-not-over-keep-spending-wisely/#.X6rO9RDQUd8.twitter 10/n
With the impressive @pfizer news, @CGDev have written how this is Terrific News, but in LMICs Terms and Conditions Apply https://www.cgdev.org/blog/monday-morning-vaccine-breakthrough-terrific-news-west-lmics-terms-and-conditions-apply#.X6rPmRhNHzM.twitter 11/n
For the urban poor, trade may be the only lifeline during a pandemic https://www.theigc.org/?p=34599 via @The_IGC 12/n
Another look at the high costs of lockdown - here for
Sierra Leone which locked down early to contain COVID-19 https://www.theigc.org/?p=34636 via @The_IGC 13/n
![Flagge von Sierra Leone 🇸🇱](https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/72x72/1f1f8-1f1f1.png)
A good discussion of the the weaknesses in many mortality data collection systems and what can be done to improve them: Why we don’t know the real number of COVID-19 deaths in Africa https://www.theigc.org/?p=34526 via @The_IGC