The period from the Turkish invasion of Efrîn 2018 to the invasion of Artsakh now has some important lessons for democrats in the NAWA region:

First off, you can't rely on USA, Europe or Russia and need to seek alliances among yourselves instead. (1/8)

"The West" is very focused on its own problems and if they decide to get involved in NAWA, it's some kind of dilletantic macchiavellism:

To legitimize it at home, the rhetorics are pro-democratic, while the objectives are not. (2/8)

Internal factions have different visions of what to do, so tactics are shifting a lot. This is visible e.g. in the Syria policies of the USA, or how Europe first cooperated strongly with Ben Ali and al-Qadhafi, just to ditch them in 2011. (3/8)

But when the young democracies were established, Europe lost interest instead of helping Libya build a parliament-controlled security apparatus and Tunisia getting out of the economical crisis.

Because these are long-term commitments that don't bring applause at home. (4/8)

Left-leaning European opposition however is often privileged pseudo-pacifism.
Interventions in order to stop aggressors are viewed as aggression by many. From the safety of Europe, they fail to understand how democracies there are threatened in their existence by hegemons. (5/8)

Authoritarian states like Turkey and Azerbaijan are expansive, armed to the teeth and have their sights on small democracies like Artsakh, Rojava and Cyprus, who are unable to compete with their strength. (6/8)

Likewise, Russia, or for that matter also regional powers like Saudi-Arabia, UAE and Iran are interested in removing democracies from the map in NAWA, because these might become a threat to the authoritarian corner stones of their states.

Don't expect help from them. (7/8)

If they want to survive, democracies in the region like Armenia, Artsakh, Cyprus, Rojava, Sakartvelo, Greece, Şingal, Tunisia and to some degree Iraq, Libya, KRG and Lebanon need to build a defensive alliance to protect each other from the hegemonial powers. (8/8)

*and Sudan