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The NFL is ALL about lines. Points mean everything.
Probabilities for every margin of victory between 0-10 in the NFL since 2006:
0 = 0.2%
1 = 3.7%
2 = 3.8%
3 = 14.5%
4 = 5.2%
5 = 3.4%
6 = 6.2%
7 = 9.2%
8 = 3.6%
9 = 1.7%
10 = 5.6%
So notice your key numbers (3,7) https://twitter.com/A_Goggles/status/1325883611359358977
Probabilities for every margin of victory between 0-10 in the NFL since 2006:
0 = 0.2%
1 = 3.7%
2 = 3.8%
3 = 14.5%
4 = 5.2%
5 = 3.4%
6 = 6.2%
7 = 9.2%
8 = 3.6%
9 = 1.7%
10 = 5.6%
So notice your key numbers (3,7) https://twitter.com/A_Goggles/status/1325883611359358977
22.2% of all NFL games will be decided by 3 points.
37% of all NFL games will be decided by 6 points.
46.2% of all NFL games will be decided by 7 points.
This is why I say get in early and know where you're going.
Half a point to a point can easily mean the difference.
37% of all NFL games will be decided by 6 points.
46.2% of all NFL games will be decided by 7 points.
This is why I say get in early and know where you're going.
Half a point to a point can easily mean the difference.
With this, look to how you can play 3 and 7 in your favor.
If I'm taking a favorite, -2.5 is SO MUCH better than -3 and -3.5. Same with -6.5 compared to -7.
If I'm taking an underdog, +3.5 is SO MUCH better than +3. Same with +7.5 compared to +7.
If I'm taking a favorite, -2.5 is SO MUCH better than -3 and -3.5. Same with -6.5 compared to -7.
If I'm taking an underdog, +3.5 is SO MUCH better than +3. Same with +7.5 compared to +7.
Honestly speaking, this is some of the quickest and best advice beginners can learn right now.
