1/ I've received several inquiries asking why Beijing has not sent a congratulatory message to President-elect Biden. My take: First, Beijing recognizes Trump will be president for two more months. Beijing has incentive to try to avoid being in Trump's political crosshairs.

2/ Second, Beijing likely sees more risk than gain in getting ahead of Trump in acknowledging the outcome of the election. They likely want to avoid actions that could feed narratives about involving themselves in America’s political process.

3/ Third, China’s leaders know Biden, and Biden knows them. China’s leaders likely judge there will be time and opportunity to speak with Biden. No need to rush.

4/ Fourth, when congratulatory calls from world leaders begin, I expect Xi Jinping will be among those calling Biden to offer congratulations. END.