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The psephologist Nate Silver crunches the figures.
Biden's lead is roughly 6 million votes.
There will be instances of voter suppression and fraud as well as errors and unfairness.
There's no reason to believe that this will have impacted the result. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-pretty-convincing-win-for-biden-and-a-mediocre-performance-for-down-ballot-democrats/
Biden's lead is roughly 6 million votes.
There will be instances of voter suppression and fraud as well as errors and unfairness.
There's no reason to believe that this will have impacted the result. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-pretty-convincing-win-for-biden-and-a-mediocre-performance-for-down-ballot-democrats/
I will likely periodically add to this thread various examples of the sort of irregularities which one encounters in most elections involving hundreds of millions of votes: but which just aren't significant, electorally.
Here's one such example: https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-donald-trump-technology-voting-michigan-6beeef230376e75252d6eaa91db3f88f
Here's one such example: https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-donald-trump-technology-voting-michigan-6beeef230376e75252d6eaa91db3f88f
Here's another one - this is a NYT story but you can read the text here.
A 74-year-old lady applied for an absentee vote. Her DOB was not on file. So the clerk entered "01/01/01"
She was not a 120 year old dead voter. This was a clerical error. https://newsexpress.in/how-claims-of-dead-michigan-voters-spread-faster-than-the-facts/
A 74-year-old lady applied for an absentee vote. Her DOB was not on file. So the clerk entered "01/01/01"
She was not a 120 year old dead voter. This was a clerical error. https://newsexpress.in/how-claims-of-dead-michigan-voters-spread-faster-than-the-facts/
Here's a good one.
Drive through voting locations were closed in Texas by the Republican Governor. Drive through voting is thought to favour the Dems.
But Trump won Texas by 6%, so this didn't impact the outcome of the election. https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/02/politics/texas-houston-republican-drive-thru-ballot/index.html
Drive through voting locations were closed in Texas by the Republican Governor. Drive through voting is thought to favour the Dems.
But Trump won Texas by 6%, so this didn't impact the outcome of the election. https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/02/politics/texas-houston-republican-drive-thru-ballot/index.html
Here's National Review's editorial:
"Reports of voting irregularities and fraud on any significant scale have so far not stood up even to minimal scrutiny." https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/11/bidens-empty-victory/
"Reports of voting irregularities and fraud on any significant scale have so far not stood up even to minimal scrutiny." https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/11/bidens-empty-victory/
Continues:
"While the president has every right to present evidence to contest his defeat, he has not done so yet. There is no visible basis for his claim that he won. It seems, instead, to be another example of the reckless self-indulgence that helps explain the actual outcome"
"While the president has every right to present evidence to contest his defeat, he has not done so yet. There is no visible basis for his claim that he won. It seems, instead, to be another example of the reckless self-indulgence that helps explain the actual outcome"
Here is a comprehensive and wholly plausible explanation of how the count developed in Wisconsin.
Again there is no evidence of fraud or malpractice here. https://spectrumnews1.com/ky/lexington/news/2020/11/06/no--wisconsin-didn-t-have-more-votes-than-voters
Again there is no evidence of fraud or malpractice here. https://spectrumnews1.com/ky/lexington/news/2020/11/06/no--wisconsin-didn-t-have-more-votes-than-voters
The head of the DOJ's election crimes department has resigned in protest against the AG's "new policy abrogating the forty-year-old Non-Interference Policy for ballot fraud investigations ... prior to elections becoming certified and uncontested." https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/09/politics/william-barr-voting-irregularities/index.html
If you'll permit me a short observation:
The ripping up of constitutional conventions - which are customarily observed - is one of the worst things that populists do.
Once these precedents have been broken, they are VERY difficult to re-establish
The ripping up of constitutional conventions - which are customarily observed - is one of the worst things that populists do.
Once these precedents have been broken, they are VERY difficult to re-establish
Here is a minor but interesting case. A computer error resulted in a Dem win for a local council seat: but was detected and reversed.
In a country as large as the US, it would be amazing if this sort of thing never took place. https://www.wxyz.com/news/error-in-election-results-reveals-losing-candidate-as-actual-winner-in-rochester-hills
In a country as large as the US, it would be amazing if this sort of thing never took place. https://www.wxyz.com/news/error-in-election-results-reveals-losing-candidate-as-actual-winner-in-rochester-hills
Here, four former Secretaries of Homeland Security, including Chertoff who served under Bush, say the election was fair, and Trump shouldn't throw obstacles in the way of transition. https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1326150572911845377
Karl Rove:
“But stealing hundreds of thousands of votes would require a conspiracy on the scale of a James Bond movie. That isn’t going to happen" https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-had-no-election-coattails-11604535684
“But stealing hundreds of thousands of votes would require a conspiracy on the scale of a James Bond movie. That isn’t going to happen" https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-had-no-election-coattails-11604535684
Here is the assessment of Tucker Carlson:
""At this stage, the fraud that we can confirm does not seem to be enough to alter the election result. We should be honest and tell you that. Of course, that could change."
I suppose it *might* change... https://www.newsweek.com/tucker-carlson-election-fraud-may-not-alter-outcome-1546252
""At this stage, the fraud that we can confirm does not seem to be enough to alter the election result. We should be honest and tell you that. Of course, that could change."
I suppose it *might* change... https://www.newsweek.com/tucker-carlson-election-fraud-may-not-alter-outcome-1546252
The BBC has put together a helpful compendium of some of the rumours of voter fraud that have been circulating. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-us-2020-54811410
Giuliani has made a number of claims about dead people voting.
They are not true. https://twitter.com/BBCWorld/status/1326504242509733890?s=19
They are not true. https://twitter.com/BBCWorld/status/1326504242509733890?s=19
No. Dead people did not swing the election.
"Of the 50, 37 were indeed dead and had not voted. Five people out of the 50 had voted -- and they are all still alive. The remaining eight are also alive but didn't vote." https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/08/tech/michigan-dead-voter-fact-debunking/index.html
"Of the 50, 37 were indeed dead and had not voted. Five people out of the 50 had voted -- and they are all still alive. The remaining eight are also alive but didn't vote." https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/08/tech/michigan-dead-voter-fact-debunking/index.html
Karl Rove:
"But the president’s efforts are unlikely to move a single state from Mr. Biden’s column, and certainly they’re not enough to change the final outcome." https://www.wsj.com/articles/this-election-result-wont-be-overturned-11605134335?mod=hp_opin_pos_1
"But the president’s efforts are unlikely to move a single state from Mr. Biden’s column, and certainly they’re not enough to change the final outcome." https://www.wsj.com/articles/this-election-result-wont-be-overturned-11605134335?mod=hp_opin_pos_1
The Department Of Homeland Security, headed by this administration's officials, finds no fault at all in the election. https://twitter.com/MSNBC/status/1327028680460218371?s=19
Another false claim of ballot fraud, comprehensively debunked. https://twitter.com/AFPFactCheck/status/1327145907306049537
Only a flesh wound
This article explains why there is no milage in the latest attempt to argue that voting machine software errors threw the election. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/11/technology/no-dominion-voting-machines-did-not-delete-trump-votes.html
Interesting to see this being pushed by Sidney Powell, the attorney for Gen. Michael Flynn.
Flynn famously videoed himself making the QAnon oath: "Where we go one, we go all".
Powell attempted to argue that this was merely a slogan on the bell on JFK's boat.
It isn't.
Flynn famously videoed himself making the QAnon oath: "Where we go one, we go all".
Powell attempted to argue that this was merely a slogan on the bell on JFK's boat.
It isn't.
Stop the press!
We now have a very clear 100-percent evidenced example of attempted election fraud! https://twitter.com/AmyEGardner/status/1328464861454622721?s=19
We now have a very clear 100-percent evidenced example of attempted election fraud! https://twitter.com/AmyEGardner/status/1328464861454622721?s=19
It looks as if the claim that Dominion voting machines were rigged was groundless.
Hand recounts producing the same tallies.
Gosh, I am so surprised. https://twitter.com/jimsciutto/status/1328765350842945537?s=19
Hand recounts producing the same tallies.
Gosh, I am so surprised. https://twitter.com/jimsciutto/status/1328765350842945537?s=19
"Georgia’s leading election official Brad Raffensperger ... said the outgoing president’s unsubstantiated claims about the vulnerability of mail-in voting likely suppressed about 24,500 Republicans from casting their ballots." https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/trump-election-georgia-results-recount-votes-b1724717.html
The hand recount in Georgia is complete:
"The audit has aligned very close to what we had in election night reporting," he said.
"It's so close, it's not a thimble full of difference." https://news.sky.com/story/us-election-results-georgia-recount-upholds-bidens-victory-as-trump-loses-clutch-of-lawsuits-12136841
"The audit has aligned very close to what we had in election night reporting," he said.
"It's so close, it's not a thimble full of difference." https://news.sky.com/story/us-election-results-georgia-recount-upholds-bidens-victory-as-trump-loses-clutch-of-lawsuits-12136841
Tucker Carlson notes:
"Powell did say that electronic voting is dangerous, and she's right, but she never demonstrated that a single actual vote was moved illegitimately by software from one candidate to another. Not one." https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/tucker-carlson-rudy-giuliani-sidney-powell-election-fraud
"Powell did say that electronic voting is dangerous, and she's right, but she never demonstrated that a single actual vote was moved illegitimately by software from one candidate to another. Not one." https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/tucker-carlson-rudy-giuliani-sidney-powell-election-fraud
He concludes:
"Why are we telling you this? We're telling you this because it's true, and in the end, that's all that matters. The truth is our only hope and our best defense. " https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/tucker-carlson-rudy-giuliani-sidney-powell-election-fraud
"Why are we telling you this? We're telling you this because it's true, and in the end, that's all that matters. The truth is our only hope and our best defense. " https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/tucker-carlson-rudy-giuliani-sidney-powell-election-fraud
