More on 2020's diploma/density divide

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/11/2020-election-results-prove-density-destiny/617027/

1. There are 14 states w/ above-avg college attainment and above-avg urban-share of population. Democrats won 13—all but Utah.

2. Among counties w/ at least 30% college attainment, Democrats increased share in ~90%

3. Before this election, Democrats won in cities, and Republicans won in rural areas. That urban-rural gap seems to have widened in 2020, as rural counties edged right and high-income suburbs of big metros swung left.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2020/nov/07/how-did-joe-biden-win-presidency-visual-guide

Fascinating storyline to watch as all the votes come in and exit-poll data improves: Biden narrowly lost ground in counties where Clinton won 60%+ of the vote. But he massively turned out 2016's more moderate non-landslide counties.

For illustrative ex. of the swing, see Cobb County, in Atlanta metro.

One of the highest college-attainment counties in GA. Moderate, too: Clinton won by just 8k votes. But Biden will win by about 60k votes. Democrats' margin increased from 2% in 2016 to 15% in 2020.

As @davidshor has pointed out, left-wing parties transforming into disproportionately urban high-education parties is an international story—at least, it's also happening in France and the UK.

Writing more on this soon, but want to end by emphasizing rate vs. level differences.

Non-white Americans vote for Democrats at a much higher rate than inner-suburbs college-ed white ppl. But in the last few cycles, the former group has edged right while the latter surged left.