Benford's Law only applies to data that span multiple orders of magnitude. Vote totals from different regions are unlikely to vary by a factor of 100 or more, so I don't think any kind of Benford analysis is appropriate here.

It's not propaganda, it's just the way the math works https://twitter.com/Theo_Chilton/status/1325083901014941697

Also, in order for you to pick up election fraud using Benford's Law it would have to be both MASSIVE in scale and very unsophisticated - they would literally have to write fake totals in for each region and completely ignore the votes cast.

Realistic election fraud where votes are harvested in a few key areas wouldn't show up in a Benford analysis, even if the Benford assumption of data varying by 2-3 orders of magnitude were true.

There are more sophisticated types of analysis that have successfully run and detected a signature of fraud in questionable elections in e.g. Russia.

But there's no way I'm doing that until (a) we have all the data and (b) someone shows some $$$ interest to cover my time.

If anyone is interested, sign up as a founding member and pay what you feel is reasonable. I'll get an email and I'll start work ASAP. You can leave a comment or DM me here on Twitter.

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