Biden's lead in Georgia is now over 7,000 with a last drop from Fulton County. That number is just not going to change much with late provisionals and overseas/military ballots (most of which have already been counted). Barring a massive counting error, Georgia is blue.

It's striking to me how much of Biden's gain over HRC is in metro Atlanta - middle and outer suburban ATL especially. The shift in counties like Cherokee and Forsyth is amazing. And continued shift in Gwinnett and Cobb. Those used to be the MOST Republican counties in Georgia.

Rural counties went about 1-2 pts toward Biden from 2016. But suburban counties blew it wide open.

Rural Towns County, e.g., went from Trump +61.7 to Trump +60.6. Turnout jumped 17%.

Gwinnett County went from HRC +5.8 to Biden +18.2. Turnout jumped 25%.

Check out the 1980 election map. Carter held on to win Georgia v. Reagan. But look at those red counties outside Atlanta. Cobb, Gwinnett, Rockdale, Clayton!, Fayette, Douglas were some of the only counties to vote for Reagan over Carter.

Similar story in 1992 when Bill Clinton carried GA. Look at how red the ATL suburbs were. Gwinnett County voted for GHW Bush by 25 points. Cobb County voted for GHW Bush by 20 points.

Dems still held on to residual strength in rural white-majority Middle Georgia counties in 1992. That area shifted red in 2000 and kept going red. Rural North GA counties went WAY red. Exurban counties stayed very red through 2004. But then the divergence started around 2008.

The divergence in North Georgia is stark:
In 2008, Cherokee County voted McCain +51. In 2020, it voted Trump +41. Forsyth went from McCain +58 to Trump +33. Suburbanization is making those counties a bit more purple each cycle.
But Habersham went from McCain +60 to Trump +64.

We've seen this pattern everywhere. The problem for the Georgia GOP is that they were so successful at turning rural mostly-white counties into GOP monoliths that they've largely maxed out. Habersham actually bottomed out at Romney +67. 2016 it was Trump +66.