If he wins, Joe Biden will likely be one of the least popular presidents in recent memory, perhaps more so than Trump. (Thread)

The coalition that got Biden this far is based on a loose coalition of different ideologies. Ranging from socialists, to mainstream democrats, to moderate Republicans. All of these groups have been glued together by a common enemy, which is Trump.

Once Trump isn’t a factor anymore, there is no glue, and there is nothing to keep the vast ideological coalition of Biden voters unified. Progressives and moderate republicans will break off, leaving Biden only backed by his core group of center-left Democrats.

Once Biden pushes the first policy in office, he loses support. If he appeases the left side of his coalition, he loses the right side of his coalition, and vice versa. This is even worsened by a Republican senate and potentially a Republican house as well.

This is very different then what happened to Trump. Unlike Biden, Trump’s support is based on a very unified base, which isn’t very ideologically different from each other, which has allowed him to basically maintain his same 40% support throughout his presidency.

In short, Biden’s support is based on a loose coalition based only on a shared hatred of Trump. On policy, they are very different. Upon the first policy making in office, Biden’s approvals have the possibility to reach 35% or less.