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A few random musings about the election…
Yes, elections can see-saw back and forth each cycle but every congressional Dem in a competitive seat in 2022 has to be terrified right now. This will translate into a more moderate agenda regardless of who controls the Senate. 1/
Yes, elections can see-saw back and forth each cycle but every congressional Dem in a competitive seat in 2022 has to be terrified right now. This will translate into a more moderate agenda regardless of who controls the Senate. 1/
It's clear the Dem platform/messaging is not translating well beyond the coasts. If Dems want to expand the map, they need leadership, punditry, and media that comes from outside the Northeast Megalopolis/California. 2/
The theory in “Coming Apart” by @charlesmurray that the fictionalized, elite “Belmont” is in such a bubble that it has lost touch with the white, working-class “Fishtown” is illustrated every day the NYT publishes multiple op-eds denigrating every Republican (48% of country). 3/
In 5 years we’ll look back at the ‘defund the police’ movement in June as peak progressivism, at least at the local level. 4/
Four years of 20+ stories every day denigrating Trump in the progressive media backfired. 5/
Hispanics have a more nuanced immigration view than one might think, as they are more likely to believe there are too many immigrants than too few. Combined with cultural conservatism, many voted Trump. 7/
https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/2018/10/25/views-of-immigration-policy/
https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/2018/10/25/views-of-immigration-policy/
Anyone who thinks Dems would have done better had Bernie Sanders been at the top of the ticket should talk to Dems who ran in competitive races and see if they agree. 8/
Texas Republicans have won over 100 straight statewide elections since 1996. Maybe wait until Dems win one race, any race, before another article about Texas turning blue. 9/
McConnell and Biden should be able to work together better than the parties have in roughly 20 years, but with both the Senate and House in play in 2 years, that window will be short. 10/
That Claire McCaskill (the archetype candidate that Dems need) said Dems must shift focus from cultural to economic issues & only thing Vox reported is the 67-year-old incorrectly used the word "transsexual" rather than “transgender” proves her point. 11/
https://www.vox.com/2020/11/5/21551329/claire-mccaskill-msnbc-transsexuals
https://www.vox.com/2020/11/5/21551329/claire-mccaskill-msnbc-transsexuals
I like that no one will believe pollsters for a long time. Elections that feel predetermined aren't good for democracy. 12/
Unfollow the pollsters. 13/13
