The other risk for Democrats is @davidshor's point about the Senate map. Biden might win 25 states I believe. So a Senate majority will necessarily require Democrats to win and keep winning Senate seats in states that voted for Trump...twice, now.
Democrats have three such? Sherrod Brown, Jon Tester, Joe Manchin? All in that lucky 2006/2012/2018 class I guess.
The map will change, elections will vary, but right now, what are the obvious "double Trump state" Senate targets? FL, IA, TX, NC, MT, SC, OH? Democrats have lost one or two (!) Senate races in all but OH in the past two cycles, which were good Democratic cycles all told!
And if Democrats have all but struck out in such targets in GOOD Democratic years, even with seemingly good candidates and plenty of $$, just makes it seem harder.
Agreed on NC. And look it's not impossible for Ds to win the Senate. It might happen! But I think it's clear that it's tough and not for lack of trying. https://twitter.com/DawnNute/status/1324753384646336518?s=19
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