Lockdowns- “ lives versus livelihoods” is tackled here. Looked at mobility data in and out of lockdown.
“The effectiveness of lockdowns in reducing infection... with the finding that infections can considerably harm economic activity because of voluntary social distancing...
/1 https://twitter.com/AntibioticDoc/status/1324691936364564481
(Paraphrased) calls for reconsideration of whether lockdown involved a trade-off between saving lives and supporting the economy. This characterization of lives vs. livelihoods neglects that effective lockdown measures taken early during an epidemic may lead to a faster...
/2
...economic recovery by containing the virus and reducing voluntary social distancing. These medium-term gains may offset the short-term costs of lockdowns, possibly even leading to positive overall effects on the economy.”
A lot of people stay in when the “COVID forecast”...
/3
...Is bad. Consumers and workers alike function best when they aren’t in an evolving high risk environment.
Decisive strong action up front to drop numbers and protect people (by also protecting health care) seems better than trying targeted interventions without sufficient ...
Data on where problems are, and sends a strong and clear message that we’re taking control. I think a it may be more doable psychologically to commit to the short sharp shock (and businesses can see the end of it) than an uncertain nibbling away at the problem over time ...
And waiting to see results.
Of course there’s no perfect playbook in a new pandemic but I think this is also the best supported approach by current evidence.

Tough times call for tough decisions.
/fin
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