For those up early, watching Pennsylvania, Biden is winning 75% of mail-in ballots on average, 91% in Philadelphia.

• gap now: 18,000, Trump ahead

• PA votes to count: 160,000

That would end with Biden winning PA with 100,000-vote margin — 2x Trump’s 2016 margin.

2/ For the conspiracy-minded:

Pennsylvania has 9 million registered voters

• 4.2 million Dem (47%)
• 3.5 million Rep (39%)
• 1.3 million independent (14%)

Here’s the key:

Early PA voters:

• Dem: 1,600,000 (66%)
• Rep: 600,000 (23%)
• Ind: 260,000 (10%)

3/ So _of course_ mail-in ballots on average are piling up 3:1 for Biden.

Democrats voted in PA 3:1 over Republicans.

And Donald Trump himself told ‘his’ voters not to use early voting.

No conspiracy. No fraud.

Math.