Ok, good afternoon everyone!
There have been a chunk of vote updates so far today, so let's go through them in a reasonable sequence.
There have been a chunk of vote updates so far today, so let's go through them in a reasonable sequence.
First, some of the remaining big-sized counties:
Sumter
Biden - 815 (67.9%)
Trump - 372 (31.1%)
I expected a 530ish vote gain for Biden here, so a little underperfoming.
Putnam
Biden - 652 (47.8%)
Trump - 700 (51.3%)
I expected a 300 vote gain for Trump here, so big Biden win
Sumter
Biden - 815 (67.9%)
Trump - 372 (31.1%)
I expected a 530ish vote gain for Biden here, so a little underperfoming.
Putnam
Biden - 652 (47.8%)
Trump - 700 (51.3%)
I expected a 300 vote gain for Trump here, so big Biden win
Next, small updates from counties I thought were done! All of these are net wins for Biden that didn't factor into my projections.
Bartow - 129/125 (+4)
Fayette - 154/62 (+92)
Peach - 54/33 (+21)
Taylor - 83/31 (+52)
Bartow - 129/125 (+4)
Fayette - 154/62 (+92)
Peach - 54/33 (+21)
Taylor - 83/31 (+52)
The Big B's. Two counties I thought Biden would get votes from but was nervous about because the projections were high.
Bryan County
Biden - 1,696 (56.4%)
Trump - 1,254 (41.7%)
Burke County
Biden - 370 (62.3%)
Trump - 220 (37.0%)
Bryan County
Biden - 1,696 (56.4%)
Trump - 1,254 (41.7%)
Burke County
Biden - 370 (62.3%)
Trump - 220 (37.0%)
And finally, the counties you care about. More drops in the metro area.
Fulton
Biden - 4,653 (75.9%)
Trump - 1,364 (22.3%)
Clayton (our first drop on their's!)
Biden - 675 (84.8%)
Trump - 114 (14.3%)
Fulton
Biden - 4,653 (75.9%)
Trump - 1,364 (22.3%)
Clayton (our first drop on their's!)
Biden - 675 (84.8%)
Trump - 114 (14.3%)
A couple more updates
Cobb
Biden - 614 (65.4%)
Trump - 299 (31.8%)
Clayton
Biden - 488 (83.8%)
Trump - 93 (15.9%)
Bunch of random county 1s and 2s (Bryan, Camden, Madison, McIntosh, Randolph)
Biden - 26 (54.2%)
Trump - 22 (45.8%)
Cobb
Biden - 614 (65.4%)
Trump - 299 (31.8%)
Clayton
Biden - 488 (83.8%)
Trump - 93 (15.9%)
Bunch of random county 1s and 2s (Bryan, Camden, Madison, McIntosh, Randolph)
Biden - 26 (54.2%)
Trump - 22 (45.8%)
Harris County, GA just dropped their mail ballots. This was Trump's last favorable county with a significant number of mail votes outstanding. I estimated Trump winning them by 525. I was wrong.
Results:
Biden - 1,808 (50.4%)
Trump - 1,738 (48.4%)
Results:
Biden - 1,808 (50.4%)
Trump - 1,738 (48.4%)