The @WorldBank has been forecasting that #remittances will fall dramatically as a result of #COVID19. This excellent podcast sets out the evidence to date and explores the reasons why forecasts might be wrong... https://twitter.com/theindicator/status/1320049917239324672
A few articles from #African countries illustrate.
Take #Kenya, remittances are up from 2019 levels: https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/amp/business-news/article/2001391521/diaspora-remittances-for-september-rise-214-per-cent?__twitter_impression=true
Take #Kenya, remittances are up from 2019 levels: https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/amp/business-news/article/2001391521/diaspora-remittances-for-september-rise-214-per-cent?__twitter_impression=true
#Ghana - remittances were "surprisingly" up by 9.5% compared to 2019: https://citibusinessnews.com/remittances-into-ghana-shoot-up-despite-impact-of-covid-19-on-jobs-abroad/
#Zimbabwe - flows from the Diaspora have not fallen since #COVID19 - suggestions of a 33% increase compared to 2019 so far...
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-08/21/c_139308157.htm
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-08/21/c_139308157.htm
#Egypt - Central bank reports a "surprising" rise of 7% year on year in first half of 2020, they'd been expecting a 10-20% decline based on @WorldBank predictions. https://www.zawya.com/mena/en/story/Egypt_sees_unexpected_rise_in_remittances_despite_COVID19_Will_it_last-ZAWYA20201022043758/
This is not a comprehensive picture - data from other African banks is needed. But it does raise an issue... Perhaps the @WorldBank dire forecasts on #Africa's #COVID19 response & related topics are too generic? #Africa needs better, bespoke analysis to frame #globaldev policies