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The mail-in vote in Pennsylvania has been going for Biden at a rate of 78%. Biden only needs to win 66% of the remaining mail-in votes in PA to win the state.
Trump’s lead in PA is evaporating at a rate of 60,000 votes per hour.
Updated at 4:51pm Pacific Time
During the past hour, Trump’s lead in PA has gone from 260,192 to 204,814 with 72% of all ballots counted going to Biden. Now, Biden only needs to get 65% of the remaining ballots to win PA.
There was some sort of adjustment to the official vote tally in PA since my last update. Trump’s lead has shrunk to 171,796. Biden only needs about 60% of the remaining ballots to break his way in order to win Pennsylvania.
There have been no count updates in PA in the past 15 minutes. Based on the current count, Biden needs to win about 61.5% of remaining ballots to win Pennsylvania.
PA vote count has not changed in the past 30 minutes
(maybe on a coffee break?)
(maybe on a coffee break?)
During the past hour, Biden raked in only about 43% of the new ballots counted (could just be an anomaly). The Biden camp has stated that 78% of mail-in ballots in PA break for Biden, so we’ll hang our hats on that. Biden only needs about 61.5% of the remaining ballots to win PA
Of the 4,484 new ballots counted in Pennsylvania in the past hour, 76% of them went to Biden. Trump’s lead has narrowed to just 184,402 votes. Biden only needs to win about 61.5% of the remaining ~807,314 outstanding ballots to win PA.
Of the 49,346 new ballots counted in Pennsylvania in the past 90 minutes, 73% of them went to Biden. Trump’s lead has narrowed at a rate of 24K per hour (over the past 4 hours) to just 164,418 votes. Biden now only needs to win 61% of the ~762,452 outstanding ballots to win PA.
Georgia update: Of the 4,735 ballots counted in Georgia in the past hour, 79% of them went to Biden. Trump’s lead has narrowed from 31,306 to 28,521 votes. Biden only needs to win 65.5% of the ~93,698 outstanding ballots to win GA.
Arizona: Although called for Biden, Biden could still lose AZ if trends continue. Of the 61,039 ballots counted in AZ in the past few hours, 41% went to Biden. Biden’s lead has narrowed from 79,173 to 68,390. Biden needs to win 41.5% of the 394,708 outstanding ballots to keep AZ.
