So, here are the latest stats I'm hearing via the Trump campaign -- and they're sounding pretty confident that Trump has a serious shot at taking AZ and PA. (1/)
In AZ, Biden currently leads by approximately 93,500 votes. There were 605K votes cast on Election Day. Trump would need to pull 57.73% of those votes to win. Team Trump says they're pulling 62% in Maricopa County, and 72-80% in other counties. They're projecting a 30k-40k win.
In PA, Trump is up by approximately 454K votes. There are 1.12M votes outstanding; Biden needs 78% of those votes to win the state. 300K of those votes are in Philadelphia. Even if Biden wins 95% of those votes, he still needs to pull 70% of the other votes. That's a heavy lift.
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