Whoever wins the election, it's worth noting that the difference between a clear victory and a coin flip in a Presidential election these days amounts to decisions of just a few percent -- a handful of people in a room of 100. As a nation, we're sharply divided either way.
I'm seeing a lot of people say, "I can't believe so many people support Trump, I wasn't expecting this to be so close." Understandable surprise given the polls, but note that so many people support Trump under any of these outcomes. We're sharply divided as a nation.
That's part of what I was trying to bring out with my "two completely different worlds" series of tweets. There's a real sense in which we have two completely different worlds -- two separate sets of facts, two separate languages.
Once you're embedded in a world, the other looks completely bizarre. As @normative has brilliantly argued, there's "epistemic closure."
http://www.juliansanchez.com/2010/04/07/epistemic-closure-technology-and-the-end-of-distance/
When Trump gets up and starts spewing lies and inventing enemies, one side hears a President who is a serial liar (horrific), the other hears a man boldly taking on the enemy that no one else is willing to confront (awesome).
Trumpism is based in significant part on a bet: that the size of the latter group's crowd that will come out and vote in the right places is just a bit larger than the size of the former group's crowd that will come out and vote in those places.
The still-emerging results of yesterday's election suggest that those two groups are very very close in size. /end
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