I am a dork, and have been spending the day with spreadsheets.

Biden is down just 79K votes in GA.

Based on the uncounted votes and the counties where they are, looks like he'll gain up to 91K votes.

I'm calling it now - Biden will win GA by 10K-20K votes.

If anyone wants my methodology:

Assume the % of votes a candidate has in each county will hold. Factor in the % of unreported vote, and project.

Now, do scenarios where candidates gets 10% more and 10% less than what they'd been getting. And you have a range.

Biden's range has him gainong on Trump by 10K-91K votes. BUT because the votes missing are mail-in ballots which have been heavily Biden, he's likely to be on the high side of that range, if not higher.

And thus, I'm predicting GA for Biden.

Biden is trouncing Trump in these counties, with %s left to count: Richmond (14% left), Gwinnett (5%), Chatham (20%), Clayton (16%), Fulton (5%), Dougherty (51%!), Cobb (11%), and De Kalb (14%). Biden's current total lead in those counties is 685,239.

Overall, I have Trump gaining 163K-199K of the remaining votes, while Biden gains 210K-256K.

That's enough to put Biden over the top.

Spreadsheets are fun.

And one more thing - this only works when high %s are already counted in most counties. I wouldn't use this methodology for a state under 70% reporting.

But it's also how I called AZ for Biden last night, and how I closed my laptop in sadness in 2016 2 hours before CNN.

Oh, hey, look. More votes have come in, and now Trump only leads GA by 68K. His lead just shrunk by 12%.

Spreadsheets are fun.

Oh hey! Trump's lead is down to 57K. 28% down from my original tweet.

@MSNBC, I am available to talk shit on your network.