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Lockdowns vs Focused Protection.
If NPIs and lockdowns had no effect on the epidemic curve or on mortality, will Focused Protection strategies have an effect on reducing mortality among the vulnerable population?
What do lockdowns do & not do?
Lockdowns Do Not SAVE US.
1/n
If NPIs and lockdowns had no effect on the epidemic curve or on mortality, will Focused Protection strategies have an effect on reducing mortality among the vulnerable population?
What do lockdowns do & not do?
Lockdowns Do Not SAVE US.
1/n
â I present a cost-benefit analysis of the response to COVID-19 that finds lockdowns are far more harmful to public health than COVID-19 can beâ 2/n https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202010.0330/v1
âsimple statistics show the spread of the coronavirus declines to almost zero after 70 days â no matter where it strikes, and no matter what measures governments impose to try to thwart itâ 3/n https://www.timesofisrael.com/the-end-of-exponential-growth-the-decline-in-the-spread-of-coronavirus/
âWe demonstrate that the United Kingdomâs lockdown was both superfluous and ineffective.â 4/n https://advance.sagepub.com/articles/Comment_on_Flaxman_et_al_2020_The_illusory_effects_of_non-pharmaceutical_interventions_on_COVID-19_in_Europe/12479987
âComparing the trajectory of the epidemic before and after the lockdown, we find no evidence of any discontinuity in the growth rate, doubling time, and reproduction number trends.â 5/n https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.24.20078717v1
âfailing to account for these four stylized facts may result in overstating the importance of policy mandated NPIs for shaping the progression of this deadly pandemic.â 6/n
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27719.pdf
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27719.pdf
Lockdowns HARM.
They are immoral.
They steal lives & livelihoods.
They are an attack on our social existence.
They increase total deaths and they push those at the poverty line below it. 7/n
They are immoral.
They steal lives & livelihoods.
They are an attack on our social existence.
They increase total deaths and they push those at the poverty line below it. 7/n
Lockdowns cause unmeasurable psychological damage and possibly more loss of life as a result, particularly in the vulnerable that they claim to protect and most importantly in the next generation. 8/n
The harm caused by lockdowns and social isolation will be as injurious as the post-traumatic stress disorders experienced after a war.
We will all suffer Covid PTSD.
We will all be COVID survivors.
9/n
We will all suffer Covid PTSD.
We will all be COVID survivors.
9/n
âThe task for public health is not simply to consider the lives that may be saved by policy efforts to limit viral spread, but more importantly, to consider the total number of lives saved and lost as a result of the epidemic and responses to it.â 10/n https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4074
âshutdowns vary by a countryâs level of economic development, with more deaths expected in middle and low-income countries.â
âLockdowns can also cause long term health harms, such as from delayed treatment and investigations.â 11/n
(Same source as 10/n)
âLockdowns can also cause long term health harms, such as from delayed treatment and investigations.â 11/n
(Same source as 10/n)
âA three-month delay to surgery is estimated to cause more than 4700 deaths a year in the UK. In the US, delays in screening and treatment are estimated to cause 250â000 additional preventable deaths of cancer patients each year.â 12/n
(Same source as 10/n)
(Same source as 10/n)
âReports from India, for example, show that the March lockdown risked starvation of migrant workers, who were forced to return to their homes and leave their jobs, as well as spreading the virus to their home villages.â
13/n
(Same source as 10/n)
13/n
(Same source as 10/n)
âOntario and British Columbia (Canada) have seen a spike in overdose deaths since the lockdown started.â 14/n
(Same source as 10/n)
(Same source as 10/n)
@SWAtlasHoover has warned us again and again about lockdown deaths. Not all excess deaths are COVID deaths. Most are lockdown deaths. 15/n https://twitter.com/swatlashoover/status/1323265995369230340?s=21
If you want to read more on the collateral damage of lockdowns, have your pick here:
http://thepriceofpanic.com/
16/n
http://thepriceofpanic.com/
16/n
If you havenât heard loud enough and clear enough the extent of the collateral damage caused by lockdowns, listen to this painful testimony, feel what this lady is feeling and then weep for her or do something about.⨠17/n https://twitter.com/shaynekrige/status/1323893912252153856?s=21
Common sense supports a strategy that is based on needs.
Just think about this.
If the data shows that dark-skinned people are more likely to be deficient in Vit D while most fair-skinned people are not.
What would be a good public health policy?
18/n
Just think about this.
If the data shows that dark-skinned people are more likely to be deficient in Vit D while most fair-skinned people are not.
What would be a good public health policy?
18/n
The choice seems clear, right?
How come it is not for COVID 19?
Stand against Lockdowns.
Against mandatory masks.
Against forced vaccination.
Do what is morally right.
Save lives & livelihoods.
Assert human agency.
Support decentralized problem-solving.
19/n
How come it is not for COVID 19?
Stand against Lockdowns.
Against mandatory masks.
Against forced vaccination.
Do what is morally right.
Save lives & livelihoods.
Assert human agency.
Support decentralized problem-solving.
19/n
All that remains now is to hope that the Focused Protection approach can indeed be successful. At least, we know it wonât harm.
Letâs hope that this much is on our hands and that we can protect the vulnerable to the best of our abilities.
Let's get started somewhere.
20/n
Letâs hope that this much is on our hands and that we can protect the vulnerable to the best of our abilities.
Let's get started somewhere.
20/n
Additional sources of information about the collateral damage of lockdowns. https://twitter.com/MartinKulldorff/status/1323616654664884224
Lockdowns kill. https://twitter.com/shaynekrige/status/1324260920269414401
See all the evidence above against lockdowns. Why is #Canada going back into lockdown?
How is the government justifying the new restrictions?
@dockaurG @OnCall4ON @strauss_matt
https://peelregion.ca/coronavirus/_media/enhanced-public-health-measures.pdf
How is the government justifying the new restrictions?
@dockaurG @OnCall4ON @strauss_matt
https://peelregion.ca/coronavirus/_media/enhanced-public-health-measures.pdf
âthe varying levels of economic recovery between red states and blue states demonstrate how top-down policy can be a failure. Strict lockdowns have devastated millions of families' incomes while failing to bring success in suppressing covid mortality.â https://twitter.com/davidleyonhjelm/status/1327060912268742656?s=21
Happening in France not in a developing country! Getting hotter yet? https://twitter.com/france24_en/status/1327223435903201281
