Media predicted a landslide (wrong)

And most people who vote Biden feel like the vote should be closer to 100:0 rather than 50:50

1) How are all the experts SO wrong, AGAIN?
2) Why does half the country want to vote for Trump??

here's my 2c:
being wrong is usually a case of having incorrect assumptions.

I see 4 assumptions I think most people got wrong. Let's call these the 4 Myths:
Myth #1: People vote based on policy

Reality: People for the more charismatic candidate

Trump is the most charismatic candidate ever.

The more charismatic candidate usually wins (Trump, Obama, Bush, Clinton, Raegan etc.)

Television enabled this. Social media was steroids
Charisma in action

- look at his rallys (packed!)
- look at his ratings (constant news coverage)
- look at his FB page numbers below.

He BLOWS Biden away on social. Not just Biden, he crushes NY Times and NBC News as well
Myth #2: People vote as individuals

Reality: People vote as tribes

humans are fundamentally tribalistic (sports team fandom, religions, home state pride etc..)

It's not as simple as white, black, latinx, men, women etc..

Tribes are based around beliefs...
Beliefs like:

* we hate lockdowns
* we hate mainstream 'fake news' media
* we hate tax hikes
* we love guns
* we love America & hate china
* we love fracking
* we hate how liberals call us racist for liking Trump/America

Tribes create echo chambers (social media).
Myth #3: Everyone thinks Trump is crazy!

Reality: Most of the country thinks the left is crazy.

- they want to lock the country down forever?
- they want socialism?
- Bernie & AOC are nuts!
- they want us to call them by their pronouns & create transgender bathrooms??
Myth #4: People who voted for Trump love Trump, and voters for Biden like Biden.

Reality: some people love their candidate..but for many people:

Trump is a giant F*ck You to the left. To liberals. To the media. To PC & woke culture.

Biden is an F*ck You vote against Trump.
ok, done tweeting about politics (aside from memes). hit the follow button if I should stick to talking about startups.
You can follow @ShaanVP.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:

By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.