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Yesterday I saw a tweet - and promptly lost it, sorry whoever it was - wondering about 'anti-bellwethers', seats in elections that always vote for the losing side. So, of course, I tried to figure it out.
In the UK, this is hard because constituencies change regularly. But looking at ones with a consistent identity, and leaving aside those in Northern Ireland, I think the winner may be Orkney and Shetland.
It has reliably returned a Liberal or Liberal Democrat in every election since 1950. This means in 19 out of the last 20 elections it has returned a minority party member, and in the remaining one it was the junior coalition partner.
Honourable mention to Ceredigion, which (including its brief period incorporating Pembroke North) has had only one majority-party member in almost a century, a Labour MP in 1966, plus one junior coalition partner in 2010.
Deliberately vague on "almost a century" as this would otherwise involve me having to work out quite how to count all the various Liberal flavours in the early 1920s and that is a task beyond me at 11pm.
