Compelling data are in via the AP from the Votecst survey of 140,000 voters (a typical poll is 1,000). They don’t report how people voted until polls close. But they report this:
This would seem to point to a Biden advantage, though in 2016 it appears some people who disapproved of Trump voted for him.
Four in ten voters said the pandemic is their top issue. Almost three in ten said the economy. Here’s how voters rated the candidates on handling those issues.

The criminal justice question may reflect a vast divide on what it means to “handle policing.”
A majority still favors keeping or expanding Obamacare, after four years (ten years, really) of Republican efforts to repeal it with no replacement. John McCain might have saved his party trouble by blocking repeal.
This is a fascinating stat because an overwhelming majority of Americans agrees racism is a problem, yet Trump, defender of Confederate statues, is still in the game. Do some have a different definition of racism? In a debate, Trump defined anti-racism programs as “racist.”
This would maybe not have been a prominent question in a lot of prior elections.
Finally, there’s this. 63% of voters don’t find the president to be honest or trustworthy. Unless he is held below 37% of the vote, which is not a where he’s polling, some people who felt he is dishonest must be voting for him.
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