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Something to watch for tonight is how turnout in Cuyahoga County trends. Dems need to hit about 650k total votes there to really solidify a competitive race. If that number hits and Biden split is above 69%, probably safe to assume there's a race to be had here.
Current totals:
Current totals:
Here are the races dating back to Obama 2012 in Cuyahoga County, including turnout, split and statewide result. Gives an idea of the baseline Dems need to hit up in Cleveland to be competitive.
A note, I did not include Sherrod Brown's 2012 race nor Rob Portman's 2016 race since they came in presidential years. Included both Brown and DeWine in 2018 to give a sense of what the successful baseline is for both R and D in the state.
And props to @cuyahogaboe for giving me this website to constantly F5 throughout today. https://boe.cuyahogacounty.gov/en-US/livevoter.aspx
The other side of this coin is that if that number hits and its boosted by suburban votes, are those suburban Trump votes or suburban Biden votes. https://twitter.com/AndrewJTobias/status/1323738159872679937
Going to pick up my traditional Election Night pizza, but here are the updated numbers for Cuyahoga County. A big question is if there will be any kind of post-5 P.M. surge that aligns with the work day. Of course a lot of people are either working from home or out of work.
