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gompertz curves:
it's not just a good idea, it's the law.
watching these countries lock down is like watching a newb day-trader finally panic and sell the very bottom of the bear market.
it's already ending.
clowns. https://twitter.com/nbakic/status/1323536293285011456
it's not just a good idea, it's the law.
watching these countries lock down is like watching a newb day-trader finally panic and sell the very bottom of the bear market.
it's already ending.
clowns. https://twitter.com/nbakic/status/1323536293285011456
and this is EXACTLY what they did last time.
this is the netherlands. i measured rate of change in deaths vs 5 days earlier.
see how it was basically over by the time lockdown started?
(and it would take ~24 days from lockdown to see results) https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1266747362728280065?s=20
this is the netherlands. i measured rate of change in deaths vs 5 days earlier.
see how it was basically over by the time lockdown started?
(and it would take ~24 days from lockdown to see results) https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1266747362728280065?s=20
lockdowns had no correlation to later deaths.
you can have correlation without causality, but material causality without correlation?
nope. pretty much impossible. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1266747363990704131?s=20
you can have correlation without causality, but material causality without correlation?
nope. pretty much impossible. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1266747363990704131?s=20
everyone got the same curve no matter what they did. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1266747365609750528?s=20
but here's where it gets fun:
lockdowns correlate tightly to distancing response that same day. lockdowns cannot stop death instantly, so the causality must flow the other way.
this was a panic response
lockdowns correlate tightly to distancing response that same day. lockdowns cannot stop death instantly, so the causality must flow the other way.
this was a panic response
it's easier to see like this.
it was panic at today's deaths driving distancing.
it was panic at today's deaths driving distancing.
and the UK (united karens) was even worse.
note that this has all been known for ages. this is all from a thread i did in may.
and the UK is doing it again.
half the EU is. they learned nothing.
note that this has all been known for ages. this is all from a thread i did in may.
and the UK is doing it again.
half the EU is. they learned nothing.
it's the same panic & the same bad policy being put in place after the tide has already turned
it will (again) have no effect on covid & horrid effects on the citizenry
and it's once more utterly needless
it's just wet trousers panic.
every one of these "leaders" needs to go.
it will (again) have no effect on covid & horrid effects on the citizenry
and it's once more utterly needless
it's just wet trousers panic.
every one of these "leaders" needs to go.
