just scrolling 538 blog for interesting 2016 data points

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?lpup=25050151
prelim PA exit poll commentary ~7pm
clinton won NH 47.6% to 47.2%
trump won PA 48.8% to 47.6%
change in tone around 8:30 pm
"but the fact is"
brain_gears_turning.gif
9pm still saying 73% chance hrc victory
10pm "stating the obvious"
now we need a disclaimer
around 60/40 now
now around 50/50

is that fox icon a ¯\\_(ツ)_/¯ ?
kind of doubting this would've been posted, had the night been going differently
11pm and the model, with too-close-to-call adjustments applied, still giving 49/49
reality setting in
so_youre_telling_me_theres_a_chance.gif
11:20pm time for the faithless elector cope to make an appearance
trying to resolve these two things
11:35pm and the adjusted model has finally flipped
hope dies last
if_it_wasnt_for_those_meddling_kids.gif
cmon man, self respect
are you from the future sir, I feel like you may be from the future
2:52am calling a lid

nate is not surprised, in an extremely narrow sense
You can follow @0x000090.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:

By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.