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Need a break from Election Day doom-scrolling?
First, join a phone bank.
But second, prep for returns by reading up on a pivotal group of voters who “largely explain why seats flip from red to blue or vice versa:” moderates. https://www.thirdway.org/interview/interview-university-of-chicagos-dr-anthony-fowler-on-genuine-moderates-and-their-electoral-impact
First, join a phone bank.
But second, prep for returns by reading up on a pivotal group of voters who “largely explain why seats flip from red to blue or vice versa:” moderates. https://www.thirdway.org/interview/interview-university-of-chicagos-dr-anthony-fowler-on-genuine-moderates-and-their-electoral-impact
Our @ryanpougiales interviews U of Chicago’s Dr. Anthony Fowler on his new research on moderate voters that uses survey data to identify “genuine[ly] moderate” voters, and the impact these moderates have on our elections.
This work contests previous research that have suggested moderates are really just “ideologically innocent,” uninformed, secret partisans, and so on.
Fowler et al. estimate that around ~half~ of Americans are “genuine moderates,” as opposed to those on the ideological poles or who do not conform to a left–right ideological spectrum.
And these moderates pack an electoral punch. In Fowler’s words, “moderates are much more likely to change their votes in response to experience and ideology relative to liberals and conservatives..."
"…That is, they're more willing to vote for whichever candidate is more experienced or holds positions closer to the middle. Moderates are especially important for electoral selection and accountability.”
And Fowler closes w/ a warning: “There are almost no Americans to the left of Elizabeth Warren or to the right of Ted Cruz . . . There are many more moderates who prefer moderate policy proposals and sensible, competent solutions . . . And these moderates do vote.”
Read more from Fowler et al. in their paper, Moderates.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1vpJoGpn8Zk1gvYkl2qEhPR0iknHN4_2r/view
And also keep phone banking.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1vpJoGpn8Zk1gvYkl2qEhPR0iknHN4_2r/view
And also keep phone banking.
