Nick Trainer, Trump's Director of Battleground Strategy, told reporters that Biden's campaign just outlined on a zoom call Trump was within one state of winning the Electoral College. What does this mean 'in practice'? My guess:

First, I see no way Biden wins Georgia or Texas. If there was a large bloc of Republicans who were ready to vote against Trump, it would have shown up in the Early Voting (per county) data. It hasn't. https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1322558161493073923

Georgia rural counties Trump won 70-30 have 430K more ballots cast.

Best performing:
GA 10 - Trump won by 25 pts
GA 13 - Clinton won by 43 pts
GA 1 - Trump won by 15 pts
GA 9 - Trump won by 58 pts

In North Carolina, Trump has exceeded all expectations.

2008 Dem Voter edge over Rep: 864,253
Obama win: 0.32%

2012 D edge: 818,443
Romney win: 2.04%

2016 D edge: 646,246
Trump win: 3.66%

2020 D edge: 398,953
Result: ... https://twitter.com/Dave_Enna/status/1322942356388196358