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I have no doubt that the polls are completely flawed. My entire business is built around this concept (cold polling is nearly IMPOSSIBLE now).
So what do I look for? TRENDS.
Now I give you some trends you can take to the bank:
So what do I look for? TRENDS.
Now I give you some trends you can take to the bank:
Trend #1: Athletics
The better athlete has won every presidential election since at least 1992. Trump a clear winner in this regard, as it was heralded as nearly a miracle that Biden could ride a bike.
The better athlete has won every presidential election since at least 1992. Trump a clear winner in this regard, as it was heralded as nearly a miracle that Biden could ride a bike.
Trend #2: Aesthetics
Again, since at least 1992 the more attractive candidate has won every contest. Romney/Obama being the only possible exception, but I think it sticks. Trump has slight edge here due mostly to Biden decay and Melania glow
Again, since at least 1992 the more attractive candidate has won every contest. Romney/Obama being the only possible exception, but I think it sticks. Trump has slight edge here due mostly to Biden decay and Melania glow
Trend #3: Energy
Who is working harder and creating POSITIVE FEEDBACK LOOP with their base? Trump's running away with this as evidenced by multiple rallies/day across the land of the highest energy level. Obamaesque.
Who is working harder and creating POSITIVE FEEDBACK LOOP with their base? Trump's running away with this as evidenced by multiple rallies/day across the land of the highest energy level. Obamaesque.
Trend #4: Incumbency (is this word?)
Not since 1992 has a President lost his office, and even then it took a spoiler named Ross Perot to siphon enough GHWB votes to give Clinton the nod. Note this one could be muted due to Trump's inability to look PRESIDENTIAL
Not since 1992 has a President lost his office, and even then it took a spoiler named Ross Perot to siphon enough GHWB votes to give Clinton the nod. Note this one could be muted due to Trump's inability to look PRESIDENTIAL
Trend #5: Internal targeting/"ground game"
The GOP took Romney's ass-kicking personally and regrouped. Their targeting, technology and GOTV game is light-years ahead of Dems, who got complacent with their (now dismantled) cheating apparatus in "blue wall" states.
The GOP took Romney's ass-kicking personally and regrouped. Their targeting, technology and GOTV game is light-years ahead of Dems, who got complacent with their (now dismantled) cheating apparatus in "blue wall" states.
Trend #6: American sloth
This is the most macro of all macros. In 2012 I declared, perhaps prematurely, that America had finally tipped from an Empire of CREATION to an Empire of DISTRIBUTION. 2016 showed this could be overcome, but was perhaps outlier. Huge edge BIDEN
This is the most macro of all macros. In 2012 I declared, perhaps prematurely, that America had finally tipped from an Empire of CREATION to an Empire of DISTRIBUTION. 2016 showed this could be overcome, but was perhaps outlier. Huge edge BIDEN
Trend #7: Expert Wrongness
It's unbelievable how often these numbnuts are dead ass wrong. Look at Fauci and tell me you don't see Nate Bronze.
Literally betting against "expert consensus" has been an absolute gold mine for the past decade. Advantage T
It's unbelievable how often these numbnuts are dead ass wrong. Look at Fauci and tell me you don't see Nate Bronze.
Literally betting against "expert consensus" has been an absolute gold mine for the past decade. Advantage T
Trend #8: RESILIENCE
Americans can take hits. Way more than expected. Always have been. We are literally the best people in the world, better than everyone else. This is from the Gods themselves.
We'll work through this either way folks... enjoy the ride
/END
Americans can take hits. Way more than expected. Always have been. We are literally the best people in the world, better than everyone else. This is from the Gods themselves.
We'll work through this either way folks... enjoy the ride
/END
