1/ It takes 270 electoral votes to win the presidential election.

Whether Biden or Trump is victorious depends on which key states they pick up.

Here are the states we're watching: https://www.vox.com/21428915/electoral-college-trump-biden-2020 #Election2020

2/ The big six swing states:

Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina are the states that are viewed as most likely to determine the outcome of the election.

3/ Four of them — Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Florida — were won by Barack Obama in 2012 but Trump in 2016.

Eking out a small margin of victory in most of these states can give a candidate a massive Electoral College payoff.

4/ The states Trump is trying to defend:

Ohio, Iowa, Georgia, and Texas probably won’t be the tipping-point states, but if they flip to Biden, it likely means he’s winning big.

5/ A victory for Biden in Texas — a state that last went blue in 1976 — would deliver him a whopping 38 electoral votes. https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/21417460/texas-blue-democrat-biden-beto-2020-election

6/ The states Biden is trying to defend:

Nevada, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and Maine are all states where Biden is polling ahead, but Trump hopes to make gains.

7/7 So how might this election play out?

@awprokop explains the most promising paths to victory for each candidate and what the map might look like: https://www.vox.com/21428915/electoral-college-trump-biden-2020