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(1/5) Approx 165K “super NPA’s” have still left to vote in FL. My data shows about 70-78% of these will break Trumps way.
There’s a reason why they’re voting this late. They’re listening to @realDonaldTrump and voting in person. @seanspicer @EvanAxelbank @FoxNews
#FlaPol
There’s a reason why they’re voting this late. They’re listening to @realDonaldTrump and voting in person. @seanspicer @EvanAxelbank @FoxNews
#FlaPol
(2/5) I’m projecting about 11.6M will cast a ballot. Approx 82% turnout. Historic levels. Any ballot close to, or above, this number heavily favors @realDonaldTrump. #FlaPol
(3/5) I am predicting, in a post election analysis, we will find that that tens of thousands of “Super Dem” voters will have not cast a ballot because they will not have sent their ballot back on time nor voted in person (COVID concerns). #FlaPol
(4/5) I think final partisan breakdown will be:
R- 40.5%
D- 37.3%
NPA/Other- 22.1%
I think Trump wins by 80-100K votes. I made this prediction weeks ago so I’m sticking with it.
#FlaPol
R- 40.5%
D- 37.3%
NPA/Other- 22.1%
I think Trump wins by 80-100K votes. I made this prediction weeks ago so I’m sticking with it.
#FlaPol
(5/5) I’ve been pretty good at predicting Florida turnout over the years. Having said that this is a really hard election to pin down because of all the variables. After all is said and done I may look like a genius or just another in a long line who got it wrong. #FlaPol
