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So, about that 1-seed.
The Chiefs have a 1.5 game lead on Baltimore right now, which is actually more like 2 games since Chiefs own the only tiebreaker that matters, head to head.
The Steelers are .5 up on KC, with a soft-ish schedule remaining
The Chiefs have a 1.5 game lead on Baltimore right now, which is actually more like 2 games since Chiefs own the only tiebreaker that matters, head to head.
The Steelers are .5 up on KC, with a soft-ish schedule remaining
Their toughest remaining tests are BAL, @ CLE, @ BUF, IND. They also play the Fighting Burrows twice.
They don’t play KC, so second tiebreaker is W-L% within the AFC. KC already has one loss there, so PIT is currently holding the tiebreaker.
They don’t play KC, so second tiebreaker is W-L% within the AFC. KC already has one loss there, so PIT is currently holding the tiebreaker.
If PIT drops two of the above games - all in the AFC - KC could finish 14-2 with a loss to the Saints or Bucs and would win the tiebreaker for the 1-seed. This is the most likely scenario based on remaining schedules IMO
If PIT and KC tie in the AFC it goes to common games, min 4. The common opponents are BAL, DEN, BUF, and HOU. KC is 4-0 in these games with another against DEN to play. PIT is 3-0 with BAL and BUF left. KC would seem to have the edge there.
But ultimately, PIT controls its destiny because they have zero losses. KC has no guarantees.
