I think everyone on TV is totally swinging and missing. Looks to me that Joe has already lost Arizona. I don't care if @PredictIt has AZ at 56% for Biden.

How many tweets did I show you:
Covid means Dems mail the ballot, GOP waits until Nov. 3.

GOP already ahead. AZ to Trump.
Here's FL. Same thing. Everyone I know who is extremely cautious re Covid and does not want to be inside a building is going Biden -- by mail. It's down party lines. Blue needs to be above Red heading into Nov. 3. If not, no FL for Biden. Trump taking Sunshine State too.
Nevada is also on the table. @PredictIt is at 79% chance of Biden. I don't know who ends up taking this state, but 1-4 odds is a mispricing, IMO. We may be at the point where AZ and NV are now a package deal.

Careful with "Biden stocks" vs. "Trump stocks."
You can follow @JeffWeniger.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:

By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.