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Scientists expect horrific global warming of 1.6-2°C by 2032, triggering the final collapse of major ecosystems, extreme crop-wrecking weather events, widespread global extinction, then more horrific warming from vicious feedbacks, yet media refuse to scream for emergency action.
There's a 70% chance of hitting 1.5C of global warming by 2025, and warming is showing signs of accelerating as Arctic sea ice melts and the Earth releases more and more carbon into the atmosphere due to extreme temperatures, notably from vast forest fires. https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-53342806
Pliocene-like global average temperature (2 - 3 million years ago) of around 1.8C is possible as soon as 2030, and likely by 2035-2040. https://www.pnas.org/content/115/52/13288
Global warming of 1.9-2C by 2029-2032 is an extreme scenario, but possible with continued high emissions and/or loss of summer Arctic sea ice.
https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2016/mar/10/dangerous-global-warming-will-happen-sooner-than-thought-study?__twitter_impression=true
1.9-2C by around 2038-2042 if not before looks very likely. https://www.nybooks.com/articles/2020/08/20/climate-emergency-130-degrees/
https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2016/mar/10/dangerous-global-warming-will-happen-sooner-than-thought-study?__twitter_impression=true
1.9-2C by around 2038-2042 if not before looks very likely. https://www.nybooks.com/articles/2020/08/20/climate-emergency-130-degrees/
It will never be too late to take action to limit the damage of the expanding ecological and climate catastrophe by striving for profound system change: https://twitter.com/ClimateBen/status/1164185713476325378?s=20
Tropical corals are already collapsing.
Forests are increasingly vulnerable: collapse by the 2030s/2040s likely when rapid Arctic sea ice loss & extreme heat waves are taken into account.
The global Extinction Economy must be transformed away from growth. https://www.carbonbrief.org/deep-emissions-cuts-this-decade-could-prevent-abrupt-ecological-collapse/amp?__twitter_impression=true
Forests are increasingly vulnerable: collapse by the 2030s/2040s likely when rapid Arctic sea ice loss & extreme heat waves are taken into account.
The global Extinction Economy must be transformed away from growth. https://www.carbonbrief.org/deep-emissions-cuts-this-decade-could-prevent-abrupt-ecological-collapse/amp?__twitter_impression=true
Arctic summer sea ice is set to disappear by around 2029-2035 according to a major recent study (some scientists project 2022)
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/10082020/arctic-sea-ice-melt-pools-warming-climate
leading to a rapid surge in warming of 0.2C https://www.newscientist.com/article/2258169-arctic-sea-ice-loss-could-trigger-huge-levels-of-extra-global-warming/
or even truly camalitous 0.5C. https://www.washingtonpost.com/energy-environment/2018/12/11/arctic-is-even-worse-shape-than-you-realize/
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/10082020/arctic-sea-ice-melt-pools-warming-climate
leading to a rapid surge in warming of 0.2C https://www.newscientist.com/article/2258169-arctic-sea-ice-loss-could-trigger-huge-levels-of-extra-global-warming/
or even truly camalitous 0.5C. https://www.washingtonpost.com/energy-environment/2018/12/11/arctic-is-even-worse-shape-than-you-realize/
Even if warming was limited to 1.5C 'all major producing countries would still face notable warming-induced yield reduction.'
Risks are set to grow immensely from 1.6 to 2C with simultaneous global crop failures increasingly likely. Time to change systems. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-0569-7
Risks are set to grow immensely from 1.6 to 2C with simultaneous global crop failures increasingly likely. Time to change systems. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-0569-7
'there are one million species currently threatened with extinction. Most of those are the insects that make up two-thirds of the earth’s species.'
Many (or even most) tree species and many flowering plants like crops also face extinction. https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/the-last-butterflies/
Many (or even most) tree species and many flowering plants like crops also face extinction. https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/the-last-butterflies/
Some scientists say 1.5-2C could 'trigger irreversible processes leading to a self-reinforcing cycle of warming that could ultimately culminate in an uninhabitable planet.'
Even if feedbacks are less dramatic, they'll still threaten organised society. https://www.vice.com/en/article/43e8yp/the-uns-devastating-climate-change-report-was-too-optimistic
Even if feedbacks are less dramatic, they'll still threaten organised society. https://www.vice.com/en/article/43e8yp/the-uns-devastating-climate-change-report-was-too-optimistic
