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If you're looking for pre-election weekend reading these 8 pieces digging into the fundamentals of the race, the big picture and election night have caught the eye... 1/
Breaking down how Trump could win, this Atlantic piece has 4 factors which chime with stuff colleagues and I have been seeing on the ground. 2/
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/10/trump-can-win-2020/616905/
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/10/trump-can-win-2020/616905/
Nate Silver's latest breakdown of the state of the race via polls explains why if the 2020 polls are wrong in the same way as 2016 Biden still wins - but stresses again Trump can win. 3/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-can-still-win-but-the-polls-would-have-to-be-off-by-way-more-than-in-2016/
Our @Josiensor, who moved to the US from the Middle East at the start of this year, has this 'state of the nation' piece after trips across America in recent weeks. 4/ https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/11/01/divided-states-america-poised-historic-election/
One under-reported element of the polling narrative has been the conservative mavericks who saw the Trump 2016 win and are rejecting the 'Biden way out ahead' consensus this year. @joshglancy chatted to them + dug into it all. 5/ https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/world/who-will-get-it-right-us-election-puts-polling-industrys-credibility-on-the-line-26k303k2n
The gold standard of media outlets calling races is The Associated Press. This goes deep into how they are doing that this year, including their exit poll of 140,000 which will take into account postal voting. 6/ https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a34496862/how-associated-press-counts-us-presidential-election-votes-results/
Atlantic's @TomMcTague took the wide view of Trump's four-year foreign policy and argues it reveals not just the 1980s instincts of the president but the nature of geopolitics today. 7/ https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2020/10/donald-trump-foreign-policy/616773/
For a top down, ultra hand-wringing take on the state of the world in 2020, Noam Chomsky paints a bleak picture when interviewed by @georgeeaton in this. 8/ https://www.newstatesman.com/world/2020/09/noam-chomsky-world-most-dangerous-moment-human-history
From back in the summer but The New Yorker's Biden profile is nuanced and packed with insights, from the man who literally has now written the book. 9/ https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2020/08/31/can-bidens-center-hold
